Foresee: Predictions Tracker 4+

Name: Foresee: Predictions Tracker
Rating: 4.5 (2 reviews)
Author: Empty Studio

Made for the thoughtful

Empty Studio

Designed for iPad

- 4.5 • 2 Ratings

- Free
- Offers In-App Purchases

Description

In this unpredictable era, it is particularly important to maintain your own thinking.

With Foresee, you can calibrate your intuition by continuously recording and reflecting on it. You will record your predictions, the arguments behind them, and your confidence each time you predict, and reveal whether the prediction results are correct in the future. Over time, your intuition and judgment will become more and more acute.

In addition, you can also:
- Set reminders for the revealing date
- Calculate the accuracy of predictions
- Leave final note after revealing

If you love thinking, you may want to try Foresee, a special product.

Terms & Conditions: https://www.easebit.xyz/Foresee-Terms-Conditions.html

5 Jun 2023

Version 1.1.3

Fixed some bugs, and enabled iCloud syncing.

4.5 out of 5

2 Ratings

猜測一下自己對生活的敏感度

我覺得很棒

模型可以參考《精準預測》（“The Signal and the Noise”）做修正

建議公式可以改成「( [先驗機率] * [事件假設為真] ) / ( [先驗機率] * [事件假設為真] + [事件假設為偽] * ( 1 - [先驗機率] ) )」，只要使用者輸入3個數字，就可以更好的量化自己的想法。

這個公式實際上是貝葉斯定理的一個變形，它適用於情境，其中我們對事件A的發生或不發生的信念（先驗概率 ( P(A) )）與新證據（事件B的發生）結合，來更新我們對事件A的信念（後驗概率）。這個公式特別適用於二元（是或否）的情況。

The developer, Empty Studio, indicated that the app’s privacy practices may include handling of data as described below. For more information, see the developer’s privacy policy.