Manifold Markets
A market for every question
Free · In‑App Purchases · Designed for iPad. Not verified for macOS.
The largest social prediction market game. Compete with your friends and globally, create your own markets, and trade on literally anything - with play-money!
Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world.
Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right.
WHAT YOU CAN DO
• Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year"
• Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in
• Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive
• Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds
• Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve
• Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time
WHY PREDICTION MARKETS?
Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal.
WHO IT'S FOR
Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up.
FREE TO PLAY
Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play.
Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.
Streak widgets are here.
• Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance
• Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline
• A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident
• See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests
• Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going
Also in this update:
• Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen
• Identity verification now works better in the app
The developer, Manifold Markets, Inc., indicated that the app’s privacy practices may include handling of data as described below. For more information, see the developer’s privacy policy .
Data Linked to You
The following data may be collected and linked to your identity:
- Location
- Contact Info
- User Content
- Identifiers
- Usage Data
Accessibility
The developer has not yet indicated which accessibility features this app supports. Learn More
Information
- Seller
- Manifold Markets, Inc.
- Size
- 28.4 MB
- Category
- News
- Compatibility
Requires iOS 15.1 or later.
- iPhone
Requires iOS 15.1 or later. - iPad
Requires iPadOS 15.1 or later. - iPod touch
Requires iOS 15.1 or later. - Mac
Requires macOS 12.0 or later and a Mac with Apple M1 chip or later. - Apple Vision
Requires visionOS 1.0 or later.
- iPhone
- Languages
- English
- Age Rating
18+
- 18+
- This app is rated 18+ with content restrictions.
Some content may be rated higher, and may therefore be restricted and managed by the developer through in-app controls. - In-App Controls
Age Assurance
Frequent
Simulated Gambling
Contests
Infrequent
Profanity or Crude Humor
Contains
Messaging and Chat
User-Generated Content
Social Media
- In-App Purchases
Yes
- 1,000 Mana $14.99
- 2,500 Mana $35.99
- 10,000 Mana $142.99
- Copyright
- © 2026 Manifold Markets, Inc.